Shade and orientation affect output, but modern panels and careful inverter choices can still make a modest contribution.
A well-sited south-facing array in the UK will typically generate somewhere between 850 and 1,000 kWh for every kilowatt-peak (kWp) installed, year after year. Rotate that same roof through 180 degrees and you are usually looking at 45–60% of that figure. Shade is trickier to predict, because a narrow band of shadow creeping across a panel at midday can cost you more than a uniformly grey afternoon.
The reassuring part is that "less" never means "nothing". Even a north-facing roof collects a useful amount of diffuse light — the bright, shadowless illumination of an overcast day — and Britain has plenty of those. Generation carries on long after direct sunshine has disappeared.
It helps to separate two very different problems. Orientation losses are predictable and stable. Shading losses are erratic, shifting hour by hour and season by season, and they are the ones worth designing around.
In midsummer at UK latitudes, the sun rises well north of east and sets well north of west. For a few weeks either side of the solstice, a north-east or north-west roof receives genuine direct sunlight in the early morning and late evening. It is not much, but it is real, and it arrives when domestic demand is often at its peak.
Pitch matters too. A shallow north-facing roof sees more of the bright upper sky, so it performs comparatively better than a steep one facing the same way. A steep, sharply north-facing pitch is the hardest case of all.
Modern modules are far better at coping with partial shade than the panels fitted a decade ago.
On a flat or shallow north-facing roof, bifacial panels can also pick up reflected light from a pale surface beneath them, adding a few percent on top of what the front face collects.
This is where most disappointing arrays go wrong. In a traditional string setup, panels are wired in series, and current is limited by the weakest panel. One shaded module can hold back eight healthy ones.
A rough rule of thumb: if shade is predictable and confined to a panel or two, optimisers are usually enough. If it moves around the roof through the day, microinverters or a redesigned layout will serve you better.
Shade surveys done in a single visit can be misleading. Ideally, note the shadow pattern across the roof at hourly intervals on a clear day, then repeat in midwinter and midsummer.
Payback will be longer than for an unshaded south-facing array, and it is honest to say so. A modest 2–3 kWp on a north-facing roof might still cover a decent share of your daytime baseload: the fridge, broadband, standby loads, and a washing machine run on a bright afternoon.
The comparison that matters is not against a perfect roof — it is against no panels at all. Get an installer who will model the shading properly rather than guess from the doorstep, and ask them to show you the monthly figures, not just an annual total. Forty percent of your electricity bill is still forty percent that nobody else can put up.
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8/2/2024
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